Constitutional Carry: Shootings Rise, But Why?

do shootings go up after constitutional carry

The US Supreme Court's decision to back the right to carry guns in public has sparked debates about the impact on shooting incidents. This ruling, which quashed a century-old New York state law, has divided opinions, with gun rights advocates celebrating and those concerned about gun violence worried. The decision comes after mass shootings in Texas, Buffalo, Colorado, and Georgia, and as Congress works to change gun laws. While some states require permits and demonstrate proper cause to carry a gun in public, others have more relaxed restrictions, allowing constitutional carry or permitless carry. Studies examining the impact of these laws on violent crime and mass shootings have produced mixed results, with some finding increased firearm assaults and others inconclusive evidence. The complex nature of gun laws and their impact on public safety continues to be a highly debated topic in the United States.

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The US Supreme Court's decision to back the right to carry guns in public

The Supreme Court's decision came after a series of mass shootings and amid debates on gun-control legislation in Congress and state legislatures. The ruling struck down a New York gun law that required people to demonstrate a particular need for carrying a gun to obtain a license to carry a concealed weapon in public. The justices stated that this requirement violated the Second Amendment right to "keep and bear arms," with Justice Clarence Thomas writing that the Constitution protects "an individual's right to carry a handgun for self-defense outside the home." This decision built upon the Court's earlier rulings in the 2008 District of Columbia v. Heller case and the 2010 McDonald v. Chicago case, which established that the Second and Fourteenth Amendments were "fully incorporated," limiting state and local governments' ability to enact restrictive gun laws.

While the Supreme Court's decision expands gun rights, studies examining the impact of relaxed conceal-carry permit restrictions suggest an increase in firearm assaults and violent crime. A study by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health found that the average rate of assaults with firearms increased by 9.5% in the first ten years after 34 states relaxed restrictions. Another study by Kovandzic and Marvell (2003) analyzed the impact of changes in the number of concealed-carry permits on various types of violent crime in Florida counties from 1980 to 2000, finding uncertain effects. Additionally, Lott (2003) found that shall-issue laws were associated with significant reductions in deaths or injuries from multiple-victim shootings, while five other studies reported inconclusive or uncertain effects of concealed-carry laws on mass shooting outcomes.

The impact of the Supreme Court's decision on public safety remains a subject of debate. Some states are actively reevaluating their laws, and there are concerns about the potential increase in gun violence and inappropriate use of firearms. The decision highlights the ongoing tension between interpreting the Second Amendment and addressing the issue of gun violence in the United States.

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The impact of concealed-carry laws on mass shootings

Other studies, however, have found uncertain effects of concealed-carry laws on mass shooting outcomes. For example, Kovandzic and Marvell (2003) analyzed data from Florida counties between 1980 and 2000 and found uncertain effects of changes in per capita concealed-carry permit rates on violent crime. Similarly, five additional studies (Duwe, Kovandzic, and Moody, 2002; Fridel, 2021; Gius, 2018; Siegel et al., 2020a; Webster et al., 2020) found inconclusive evidence for the effect of shall-issue laws on mass shootings.

The findings of these studies suggest that the impact of concealed-carry laws on mass shootings is complex and multifaceted. While some studies indicate an increase in firearm assaults, others show uncertain or inconclusive effects. It is crucial to consider multiple factors, such as state-specific contexts, the implementation of other firearm laws, and the criteria for obtaining concealed-carry permits, when examining the impact of concealed-carry laws on mass shootings.

Furthermore, the criteria for obtaining a concealed-carry permit can vary between states. Some states may have more stringent requirements, such as background checks, training, or a demonstrated need for self-defense, while other states may have more relaxed criteria. The impact of concealed-carry laws on mass shootings may also depend on the effectiveness of screening processes in identifying and preventing potentially dangerous individuals from obtaining permits. Overall, the debate surrounding the impact of concealed-carry laws on mass shootings remains ongoing, with researchers and policymakers actively reevaluating the evidence and its implications for public safety.

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The impact of concealed-carry laws on violent crime

A recent study by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health found a significant increase in firearm assaults in states that relaxed conceal carry permit restrictions. The study examined 34 states that had relaxed their laws from 1980 to 2019 and found a 9.5% increase in the average rate of assaults with firearms relative to forecasted trends in the first 10 years. The study also found a 24% increase in the rate of assaults with firearms when individuals with a history of violent misdemeanors were eligible for concealed-carry licenses.

Other studies, such as those by Lott (2003, 2010) and Kovandzic and Marvell (2003), have found uncertain or inconclusive effects of concealed-carry laws on violent crime. Lott's research suggested that shall-issue laws were associated with a reduction in deaths or injuries from multiple-victim shootings, while Kovandzic and Marvell's analysis of Florida counties from 1980-2000 found no significant impact on violent crime rates.

The evidence regarding the impact of shall-issue and permitless-carry laws on violent crime is mixed. Some studies suggest that shall-issue laws may increase total homicides, firearm homicides, and violent crime, while others find no significant effect or inconclusive results. Permitless-carry laws, which allow civilians to carry concealed firearms without a permit, have uncertain effects on total homicides, with evidence being inconclusive.

The debate around concealed-carry laws and their impact on violent crime is complex and multifaceted. While some argue that loosening restrictions may lead to more firearms in the hands of potentially dangerous individuals, others believe that armed citizens can deter violent crimes and reduce overall crime rates. The effectiveness of specific provisions, such as live-firearm training and prohibiting individuals with a history of violence from obtaining permits, also plays a role in the overall impact of concealed-carry laws.

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The impact of loosening concealed carry permit requirements on violent crime

In June 2022, the US Supreme Court backed the right to carry guns in public, striking down a New York state law that required individuals to demonstrate a particular need for a license to carry a concealed gun. This decision was based on the interpretation of the Second Amendment, which protects an individual's right to carry a handgun for self-defense outside the home. The Supreme Court's ruling expanded the rights of gun owners and set a precedent for other states with similar laws.

Research on the impact of loosening concealed carry permit requirements has yielded mixed results. A study by Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health found that states that relaxed conceal carry permit restrictions experienced a significant increase in firearm assaults. The study examined 34 states that loosened restrictions and found a 9.5% increase in the average rate of assaults with firearms relative to forecasted trends in the first 10 years. The study also concluded that moving to less restrictive laws was associated with a 24% increase in the rate of assaults with firearms when individuals with violent misdemeanors were eligible for concealed-carry licenses.

On the other hand, a study by Lott (2003) found that "shall-issue" laws, which allow individuals to obtain concealed-carry licenses without demonstrating a specific need, were associated with significant reductions in deaths or injuries resulting from multiple-victim shootings. However, five additional studies found inconclusive or uncertain effects of concealed-carry laws on mass shooting outcomes. These studies suggest that the impact of loosening concealed carry permit requirements may vary depending on various factors, such as state-specific regulations and the implementation of safety and screening provisions.

The debate surrounding the impact of loosening concealed carry permit requirements on violent crime is complex and multifaceted. While some research indicates an increase in firearm assaults, other studies suggest that loosening permit requirements can lead to reduced fatalities in multiple-victim shootings. The interpretation and implementation of gun laws vary across states, and public opinion remains divided on the issue. Ultimately, the impact of loosening concealed carry permit requirements on violent crime is a matter of ongoing research and policy discussion.

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The impact of state laws on the right to carry guns

The right to carry guns in the United States is a highly contested issue, with states adopting varying laws and restrictions. Some states have strict requirements for obtaining a permit to carry a firearm, while others allow for more unrestricted access. This discrepancy has led to ongoing debates and legal challenges, with gun rights advocates and state governments advocating for their respective positions.

Constitutional Carry and State Laws

Constitutional carry, also known as unrestricted or permitless carry, refers to the absence of state prohibitions on citizens carrying handguns, either openly or concealed. In these states, individuals who can legally possess a firearm are not required to obtain a state permit for carrying it. However, some states with constitutional carry may impose certain conditions, such as prohibiting individuals with a history of DUIs from carrying a handgun.

As of 2024, there are 29 states that allow permitless concealed carry, with varying minimum age requirements. For instance, North Dakota permits individuals aged 18 and above to carry concealed firearms under its permitless carry laws. In contrast, Louisiana has a minimum age requirement of 21 for permitless carry.

Impact of State Laws on Gun Violence

The impact of state laws on gun violence has been a subject of extensive research and debate. A study by Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health found that relaxing conceal carry permit restrictions led to a significant increase in firearm assaults. The study examined 34 states that had loosened restrictions and found a 9.5% increase in the average rate of assaults with firearms relative to forecasted trends in the first decade after the policy change. The study also concluded that moving to less restrictive laws resulted in a 24% increase in the rate of assaults with firearms when individuals with a history of violent misdemeanors could obtain concealed-carry licenses.

On the other hand, some studies have found uncertain or inconclusive effects of concealed-carry laws on mass shooting outcomes. For example, a study by Lott (2003) suggested that shall-issue laws were associated with reduced deaths or injuries from multiple-victim shootings, while five additional studies found uncertain effects on mass shooting incidence, injuries, and fatalities.

Supreme Court Rulings

The Supreme Court's rulings have played a significant role in shaping the landscape of gun rights in the United States. In 2022, the Court backed the right to carry guns in public, striking down a long-standing New York state law that required individuals to demonstrate a particular need for obtaining a concealed carry license. The Court ruled that the law violated the Second Amendment right to "keep and bear arms." This decision sparked strong reactions, with supporters cheering a victory for gun rights and critics expressing concerns about potential increases in gun violence.

Frequently asked questions

Constitutional carry means that the state’s law does not prohibit citizens who can legally possess a firearm from carrying handguns, either openly or in a concealed manner, and thus no state permit is required.

There is no clear consensus on whether shootings go up after constitutional carry. While some studies have found a significant increase in firearm assaults and violent crime in states that relaxed conceal carry permit restrictions, others have found uncertain effects or even significant reductions in the number of deaths or injuries from multiple-victim shootings.

Those in favor of constitutional carry argue that it is protected by the Second Amendment of the US Constitution, which guarantees the right to "keep and bear arms." They also argue that it allows law-abiding citizens to exercise their right to self-defense outside the home.

Those opposed to constitutional carry argue that it could increase inappropriate use of firearms in response to interpersonal conflicts or other situations, leading to more gun violence and potentially making it easier for dangerous individuals to obtain firearms.

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